Political Scientist · New York

Bernardo
Gortaire Morejón

I provide geopolitical, international security, and strategic intelligence analysis for governments, institutions, and companies navigating complex international environments. I am based in New York and work across Latin America and beyond.

I rarely find the real problem in the symptom. My work addresses structural causes instead of merely managing their visible effects. I rely on evidence and a long-term horizon because that is the kind of analysis that still holds when the immediate crisis fades.

Publications  →
Bernardo Gortaire Morejón
6
My peer-reviewed books I have published in Ecuador and Spain
95+
Media appearances Radio, TV and media — 8 countries
10+
Years of field experience Intelligence · Consulting · Research
Latin American Geopolitics US–China Competition Strategic Intelligence Ecuador & Andean Politics Organized Crime & Security Oceanopolitics Electoral Analysis Early Warning OSINT Research Defense Consulting Human Security Regional Integration Latin American Geopolitics US–China Competition Strategic Intelligence Ecuador & Andean Politics Organized Crime & Security Oceanopolitics Electoral Analysis Early Warning OSINT Research Defense Consulting Human Security Regional Integration

How I can help

Who I Work With

I work with three distinct segments through one common thread: analytical rigor applied to complex realities — whether you need a risk briefing, an expert quote, or a research collaboration.

Organizations & Decision Makers

I develop geopolitical risk assessments, scenarios, and strategic intelligence products for governments, NGOs, and private-sector actors. You can work with me on retainer, by project, or through executive briefings in English or Spanish.

Journalists & Media

I provide on-record commentary on Ecuadorian politics, Latin American security, US–China competition, and organized crime. My analysis has appeared in El Universo, Expreso, GK, Infobae, Connectas, and outlets across seven countries.

Media appearances

Researchers & Academic Institutions

I publish in peer-reviewed journals and welcome collaboration, peer review, and academic exchange. My work includes seven indexed articles and six books on geopolitics, security, regional integration, and oceanopolitics.

View publications

Analytical framework

Selected Concepts

I developed these analytical tools through years of research and writing, wherever existing frameworks fell short. I do not use them as labels: each one names a mechanism.

Full framework

Systemic discontent

The unresolved combination of poverty and inequality creates lasting discontent that fuels populism, clientelism, and the criminal capture of the state. This is not a temporary mood, but a structural condition that turns every electoral cycle into another expression of the same frustration.

Identity-based integration

Collective identity, not economic incentives, is the determining variable in the success or failure of regional integration processes. Institutional architecture built without a shared identity to sustain it will collapse when political winds shift, regardless of the quality of its design.

Strategic positioning

A State that first defines its permanent national objectives and then builds its alliances from there, rather than reacting to external pressures or aligning by default. Sovereignty in a multipolar order is not neutrality: it is having a position before being asked to choose sides.

Sophophobia

The irrational or systemic fear of learning as a political phenomenon. When anti-intellectualism becomes a cultural value, societies lose the capacity to evaluate their leaders critically. The result is not ignorance: it is the normalization of a condition that makes democratic accountability structurally impossible.

Published Work

Books

I selected these publications because they examine the fault lines of our era. In each one, I invite you to approach Latin American geopolitics on its own terms: not as a footnote to other regions, but as a space with its own logic, contradictions, and stakes.

América Latina, la región que se niega a ser

2024 · ESPE

América Latina, la región que se niega a ser

I ask why the region consistently falls short of its own potential and build a structural diagnosis around four axes: inequality, systemic discontent, transnational crime, and what a genuine path forward would require.

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La guerra nunca se fue

2024 · ESPE

La guerra nunca se fue

I read the Russo-Ukrainian war through the mirror of history and argue against oversimplification: the conflict is multicausal, deeply rooted, and a symptom of a global order under structural stress.

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Dragón ascendente, águila desafiante

2023 · ESPE

Dragón ascendente, águila desafiante

I examine the hegemonic competition between China and the United States and its implications for Latin American sovereignty. I argue that fear of displacement can be more dangerous than the challenger’s ambition.

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El camino a la integración desde la identidad

2020 · UDLA Ediciones

El camino a la integración desde la identidad

Together with Mauricio Montalvo, I propose a South American approach to regional integration grounded in identity rather than institutional architecture alone. Here we first formulate the identity-based integration thesis.

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Media

In the Media

Here I gather my appearances and citations across radio, television, and print, where I discuss elections, security, foreign policy, and regional politics in Ecuador and beyond.

56
Radio & television appearances
45
Media citations
8
Countries with coverage

Ecuador

El Universo Expreso El Comercio GK Vistazo Fundamedios Wambra RTP FM Mundo RTU

International

Infobae Connectas Diálogo Américas El Colombiano El Tiempo (CO) Cenital (AR) Latinoamérica21 Prensa Latina RFI

Strategic consulting

Let's work together

If you need geopolitical analysis, intelligence products, or a strategic perspective on Latin American affairs, I can help. Engagements range from a single executive briefing to ongoing consulting support.

Media & interviews

Expert commentary

I am available for on-record interviews, expert quotes, and background conversations in Spanish or English. For media inquiries, speaking invitations, or my media kit, write to me directly.